Tag Archive forex

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What is the Bear Market?

What is the Bear Market?

 

The bear market concept is often used not only for forex trading but also for all financial markets (stocks, bond markets). The bear market is called the English bearish market. The bear market is often used when markets are pessimistic and when prices are expected to trend down for a long time. To say that a financial product has entered the bear market, the main trend must first be downward (downward trend). However, if there is a 20% downward movement from the previous peak level.

 

While there is no general consensus about how long the bear market will last, it is expected that prices will continue to fall for a long time. Demand for products on a market under the bear market is declining. Because demand is decreasing, nobody wants to buy those products and prices continue to fall.

 

The bull market, on the contrary of the bear market, shows that the related market will be on the rising trend for a long time and that the demand for the products in that market is increasing.

GOLD MONTH MARKET – EXCHANGE MONTH MARKET

The gold bear market indicates that gold prices will remain low for a long time, prices are showing a downward trend and this trend will continue. The stock market also indicates that the stock market index will stay low for a long time, the prices of stocks are showing a downward trend and this tendency will continue.

 

If gold prices were to be taken as an example, the bull market was experiencing a rising trend from the beginning of 2000s to the end of 2011 for a long time. However, in the middle of 2013, 2011 peak price level of 1900 dollars ounce of the level of 1500 ounces fell below. There was a decrease of about 30% from the previous peak level and gold prices were officially under the influence of the bull market.

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USD / JPY reacts to 110.70 support

USD / JPY reacts to 110.70 support

On the first trading day of the week on the Japanese new forex market, it maintained its gains against the dollar. USD / JPY, which is down 0.05%, continues to be affected by the weaker dollar in global markets. During the Asian hours, the Japanese reading PMI for the month of July came in at the level of 52.2 and there was no significant effect on the parity. In the US wing, PMI figures will be followed today. It is also expected that Trump’s brother-in-law, Kusher, will testify at the Intelligence Committee behind closed gates. It would be beneficial to monitor these developments closely for the course of the US dollar, which is under the negative pressure of political risks.

 

Technical Analysis: The USD / JPY pair has retreated to 110.70, indicating a significant level. If the upside movement of the parity shaped at 111.00 with this point buy reaction continues, 111.90 level can be seen as the first resistance point. However, breaking down the support level below 110.75 may lead to an increase in downward sales pressure.

 

Resistance: 111.90 / 1112.75 / 113.50

Support: 110.70 / 111.00 / 109.20

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Ounce gold is valued with safe port demand

Ounce gold is valued with safe port demand

It allows for the upside movement of the ounce of gold to keep the US dollar weak in forex markets. The political developments that we have followed frequently in the US wing for the past week caused the dollar to lose its strength in the global markets. The precious metal that stands out with the demand for safe port is shaped at the moment at the level of $ 1251. While the dollar index has fallen to its lowest level in the past year, we are seeing a horizontal and trading course in US 10-year bond yields. US PMI figures will be tracked in today’s data calendar. It is also expected that Trump’s brother-in-law, Kusher, will testify at the Intelligence Committee behind closed gates. It is beneficial to follow these developments closely in terms of the parity appearance.

 

Technical Analysis: The precious metal that keeps its course in the rising channel is shaped over $ 1251. The strong placement of the yellow metal on this level can counteract the nearest resistance of $ 1257 in the following periods. On the other hand, extensions below $ 1251 may cause sales pressure to accelerate from $ 1246 to $ 1240.

 

Resistance: 1257/1262/1270

Support: 1246/1240/1236              

 

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Attention to OPEC & Russia meeting for oil prices

Attention to OPEC & Russia meeting for oil prices

Oil prices remain under negative pressure from rising production figures. Oil prices, which can not rise despite OPEC’s supply interruption, are disturbing oil producing countries. Today, OPEC members and Russia’s St. It is expected to participate in the global petroleum market assessment meeting to be held in St. Petersburg. Here, future messages about the oil market may have an impact on prices. In addition, Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said in an interview with the Financial Times newspaper that Nigeria and Libya should join the OPEC supply disruption agreement. For this reason, it is useful to pay attention to possible price movements from presentations coming from today’s meeting.

 

Technical Analysis: US crude oil, which can not follow a strong course on the level of $ 47.00, is currently on a support level of $ 45.50. While the uptrend of crude oil is seen as a resistance at $ 46.60 in the first place, it needs to settle for $ 47.00 for a strong acceleration. On the other hand, there are support levels of $ 45.50 and $ 44.45 below.

 

Resistance: 46.60 / 47.00 / 48.50

Support: 45.50 / 44.45 / 43.30

Technical Analysis: Brent oil is experiencing returns from critical resistance levels. Brent crude, which did not reach $ 50.00, continued its downward movement to $ 48.00. Brent, which is shaped on momentum momentarily, faces a downward trend of 47.80 / 46.60 as support points. On the other hand, we are monitoring critical resistances above 48.50 / 49.20 and $ 50.00.

 

Resistance: 48.50 / 49.20 / 50.00

Support: 47.80 / 46.60 / 45.35

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Forex Basic Analysis

Forex Basic Analysis
FED (Federal Reserve)

The Federal Reserve is the central bank of the United States, which was founded on December 23, 1913. Over time, the roles and responsibilities of the Federal Reserve System have been expanded and changes have taken hold. Ben Bernanke, head of the central bank in Washington. The bank also has the authority to print and distribute US dollars.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)

forex, Forex Basic, Forex Basic Analysis, Forex Basic analytics, Forex Beginner, Forex Beginners, capitalforex netThe FOMC is the US Federal Reserve Open Market Operations Committee. It is the most important part of the Federal Reserve System’s monetary policies. The FOMC has important tasks such as increasing employment, keeping inflation and macroeconomic balance at an acceptable level, and taking measures to promote economic growth.

FED Meetings
The Federal Open Market Commitee meets eight times a year to assess economic trends and determine their monetary policy. FOMC Meetings (FOMC Minutes) are announced three weeks after the FED meetings. In the meeting records; The reasons behind the decisions of the FED meetings include the FOMC members’ view of the macroeconomic outlook, the duration of economic measures and interest rate decisions, and forecasts for future periods. Investors look for clues in this long text for changes that may occur in the FED’s monetary policies.

Interpretation of FOMC Decisions
Interest Rate Decisions: Commitments to keep FED’s policy rate at certain levels are affecting the course of the US dollar and commodities. For example; A clue to the prolongation of the rate at which interest rates are held at very low levels will create a low interest-weak dollar sense. Read More

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How to Approach Forex Markets.

How to Approach Forex Markets.

 

 We can explain it in two ways.

For most investors or traders who have experience with the stock exchange, an attitude has been put in place to change currencies or add money as another opportunity to switch to diversification.

 

 

  1. Money trading was introduced as an “opportunity for an active trader”. These brokers are good because they are making more money when the merchant is more active.

 

  1. Foreign exchange trading is also promoted as leveraged trading, and it is therefore easier for a trader to open a small amount of account for the stock market trading.

 

In addition to trading a profit or a return, foreign exchange trading can be used to hedge a stock portfolio. For example, if you set up a portfolio of shares in a country with a potential to raise the value of a share, but a risk of insolvency in currency, such as in the recent US, then a trader may own the share. Create a portfolio and shorten the Swiss franc or euro To sell futures. In this way, the portfolio value will increase and the negative impact of the falling dollar will be significant. This is true for investors outside the United States who take their earnings back to their own currency.

 

If this profile is kept in mind, opening a forex account and daily trading or swing trading is the most common. Investors can try to make extra money by using the methods and approaches described in this site on the lot of articles found elsewhere and on the web sites of brokers or banks.

 

A second approach to transaction currencies is to understand baselines and long-term benefits when a currency advances in a particular direction and provides a positive interest rate differential that provides a value in the currency value of the return of the investment. This type of trade is known as “transport trade”.

 

For example, a trader can take the Australian Dollar against the Japanese Yen. When the original of this article is published, the Japanese interest rate is 0.05%, the most recently reported Australian interest rate is 4.75%, so a trader can earn 4% in this trade.

Nevertheless, such a positive interest should be seen in the real exchange rate context of the AUD / JPY before the decision of interest is given. If the Australian dollar is strengthening against the yen, it would be appropriate to hold the AUD / JPY to gain both the appreciation of the currency and the yield of interest.

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Advantages and Disadvantages of Forex Trading Trades

Advantages and Disadvantages of Forex Trading Trades

 

If you are considering trading in foreign currencies, the pros and cons of other trading forex have been arranged as follows:

 

 

  1. Forex markets are the largest in terms of volume traded in the world and therefore offer the most liquidity, making it easier to enter and exit a position in any of the major currencies for a second or less.

 

  1. As a result of the liquidity and convenience that a trader may enter into or derive from a trade, banks and / or intermediaries offer a great deal of leverage; This means that a trader can control his own big positions with relatively little money. A leverage of around 100: 1 is not uncommon. Of course, a trader should understand the risks of leveraging leverage and leveraging an account. Leverage should be used with caution and care if it will provide any benefit. An understanding or lack of wisdom in this regard can easily destroy a merchant account.

 

  1. Another advantage of Forex markets is trading 24 hours a day starting in Australia and ending in New York. The main centers are Sydney, Hong Kong, Singapore, Tokyo, Frankfurt, Paris, London and New York.

 

  1. Transaction currencies are a “macroeconomic” effort. A foreign exchange trader must be connected to each other in order to comprehend the great picture understanding of the economies of the various countries and the bases that guide foreign exchange values.

 

For some, it is easier to focus on economic activity to make trade decisions than to understand the nuances that exist in stocks and futures markets, which usually require economic activity, and often the closed environments. Questions about a company’s management skills, financial strengths, market opportunities, and industry specific information are not required for forex trading.

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OIL OPERATIONS

OIL OPERATIONS

 

Oil is among the most heavily traded commodities in the Forex markets. There are two types of Oil used in the world.

Crude Oil (USOIL)

Crude oil, which is very important in the world economy and accepted as black gold; Industrial, automotive, energy, chemical, cosmetics. The world is being used as a leading indicator of oil prices and is being removed from the state of Texas. Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) oil is called “Texas light sweet” because of its low light (light) and low sulfur (sweet) content. Crude oil prices show great sensitivity to political and economic developments, but also change as the geopolitical risks in the Middle East increase. Many factors, such as oil reserve levels, changes in global climate, economic developments, supply and demand balance, have an impact on crude oil prices. In the forex market of crude oil, the volume of transactions is quite high, and in the market both profit and loss can be achieved both in value increments and in value losses.

 

Brent Oil (UKOIL)

 

After crude oil is the second highest quality oil in the world. Its name is taken from the initials of five separate tectonic strata in the North Sea (Broom, Rannoch, Etieve, Ness, Tarbat) between England and Norway. It shows great sensitivity to political and economic developments, but is affected more quickly than the changes that may occur. The geopolitical risks and economic vitality on the Eurozone are influential in the upward and downward movement of prices, as developments in the Middle East are influential on Brent Oil prices.

 

Transactions on oil at financial markets may be futures (traded within a certain period) or as demand (traders continuing until the investor finishes trading positions). Therefore, there is no obligation to close positions at the end of the maturity. The positive or negative overnight cost (Swap) is reflected according to the trading direction of the investor.

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Forex Commodity Trading

 Forex Commodity Trading

Commodities are all the goods and products subject to trade. Mining, mineral, energy, agriculture, food and livestock products are all part of the commodity.

 

Commodities are all the goods and products subject to trade. Mining, mineral, energy, agriculture, food and livestock products are all part of the commodity. Energy products such as gold, silver, platinum, copper, mineral products such as cotton, soybean meal, corn, wheat, agricultural products, petroleum and natural gas are among the commodity products on the Forex market. Supply and demand changes in the market vary on commodity prices. For this reason, it is necessary to follow the usage area, supply possibilities and demand of the market which is the subject of purchase and sale.

 

In commodity products based on commodities, many factors affect commodity prices such as natural conditions, weather conditions, agricultural policies and government policies. Another reason for the preference of agricultural commodity products is that there is no excessive ups and downs on prices of agricultural products, foreign exchange and other instruments. For this reason, it is traded as a reliable investment instrument.

 

If the commodity is based on madene, it is divided into two groups as valuable and industrial mines. Typical example for the province. Historically, gold is used for storage purposes. Today it is an investment tool preferred by investors to protect against inflation. In the second group, there are industrial mines such as copper aluminum and platinum. The value of the industrial mines depends on the supply and demand for that mineral, which is closely related to the power of that industry.

 

Oil is at the beginning of energy-based commodities. Petroleum alternative is a product which is not found in the world and is considered valuable because it is a scarce product used in every area. It is one of the products with the highest strategic importance on the world.

Investments on commodities can be made through futures markets as well as on forex markets. There are many reasons why commodities are more advantageous than the stock market in Forex markets. However, the most important reason for not having a specific center in the forex market can be shown as including all world markets. Especially, it is very important to be able to evaluate the opportunities on the commodities by being able to perform both purchasing and selling, ie two-way transactions on the product range

Investment decisions can be taken more precisely when all the circumstances are considered and when the commodity has trackable information.

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Forex FOREIGN TRADE

Forex FOREIGN TRADE

 

A parity is a pair of currencies in which a country’s currency is valued against the currency of the other country. According to their prevalence in global markets, major and minor (exotic) parities are examined in two groups.

A parity is a pair of currencies in which a country’s currency is valued against the currency of the other country. According to their prevalence in global markets, major and minor (exotic) parities are examined in two groups. The parallels traded most in global markets are called major. Another reason for the major denomination of these currencies is that country economies are robust and dynamic.

There are 7 major currencies that are traded on financial markets. These are Euro, US Dollar, Japanese Yen, British Sterling, Swiss Franc, Canadian Dollar, Australian Dollar. Minor currencies are currencies with lower transaction volumes, preferred by local investors.

The most preferred minor currencies are New Zealand Dollar, South African Randi, Singapore Dollar. Parity pairs consisting of one major currency and one minor currency are also called minor parity.

On the Forex market, every transaction on the parity occurs when a foreign currency is sold and other foreign currency is bought. According to this price, it is necessary to understand how much the counter currency should be paid to get one from the first currency. If the EURUSD is priced at 1.1090, EUR1.1090 will have to be paid to get 1 EURO. In the Forex market, investors aim to earn from price fluctuations of currency pairs by buying or selling other currencies in exchange for a foreign currency. The expectation of investors who want to buy the euro and make a profit increases the value of parity, but this situation is shaped by the multiplicity of supply and demand.

How is the parity calculated? We will clarify this question with the help of a sample;

EURTRY: 3,2440
USDTRY: 2,9220
EURUSD is calculated as: 3,2440 / 2,9220 = 1,1101.

There are many factors that affect the price of the parity. These are economic data, decisions of the Central Bank, political developments and geopolitical risks, which have a significant effect on the price of the currency. The increase in interest rates ensures that the growth figures announced on the anticipation or the value of the industrial currency are appreciated; Low employment, rising foreign trade deficits in emerging countries, or rising inflation lead to the devaluation of the money. The uncertainties in the political structure of the country and the loss of political confidence will cause the currency to lose value.