For example; Egypt had serious pressure on the exchange rate due to the fall of the US dollar to the black market. The rise of the black stock market had serious consequences for Egypt’s domestic production and investments. For this reason, Egypt devalued its currency by 14% against the US dollar in March 2016.
After the devaluation, the Egyptian stock market showed very serious rises, but against it the black market forced the Egyptian central bank to take more precautions. On June 12, 2016, the Egyptian bank once again devalued the value of the Egyptian Pound against the US dollar.
Another example of devaluation is China. China, which is experiencing serious problems with the credit market and economic contraction in 2015, has devastated Reminbi, the local currency. China, repeating this devaluation movement several times over the course of the year, warned China that it intervened with the US on monetary policy instruments on global trade. By devaluing the countries’ currencies, trying to gain advantage in global trade and being advantageous in exports is seen as the main cause of currency wars.
The concepts of support and resistance are not just forex markets, but a concept of technical analysis that is used throughout financial markets. In general, support can be explained as the level at which prices are expected to decline. The persistence of sales in the financial market at support levels is interpreted as the response of buyers at this level. However, it should not be forgotten that in the case of breakdown of important support levels, that is, if downward support points are crossed, sales will accelerate and the support point will become a point of resistance. Breaking a support point does not mean that the support level is below the support level. We can say when a level of support is broken, clearly when it closes below this level. When we look at the historical charts in Forex markets, the first multiplier is the support level where the sales are stopped and the prices can not fall further below this level. At these price levels, the Euro dollar pair has found support, as can be seen from the levels indicated by blue in the chart below. Below you can find examples of euro usd support resistance level.
Bollinger bands are a volatility band that is often used in technical analysis, developed by John Bollinger in the 1980s. Volatility is a variable dependent on standard deviation, and volatility increases or decreases affect standard deviation. Bollinger bands are narrowing when volatility rises and bollinger bands are decreasing when volatility is decreasing. In 2011, bollinger bands will be patented on behalf of John Bollinger. Prices for Bollinger bands are relatively high or low. According to Bollinger, tapes contain 88-89% of price movements. It is stated that the price movements of these beds out of band width bands are unusual. Technically speaking, the prices are relatively high if they are close to the high band, and the prices are relatively low when they are close to the low band. Nevertheless, the relatively high price movements should not be construed as buying or selling signals.
HOW TO CALCULATE BOLLING BITS?
Medium Band: 20-day simple moving average
Upper Bant: 20-day simple moving average + (standard deviation of 20 days price x 2)
Lower Bant: 20-day simple moving average – (standard deviation of 20-day price x 2)
HOW TO USE BOLLİNG TANKS?
An example of the bollinger band appears in the above graphic. In this example, the middle line shows the 20-day moving average. There are two lines above and below this line. Upper line; Above the standard deviation of the moving average in the middle, the bottom field line and the moving average in the middle denote the K standard deviation. In general, the standard deviation is assumed to be 2 in the bollinger bands and 20 in the period.
The most important reason for using Bollinger bands is that the financial product can be held at high and low levels and it can be predicted which band the related product will fluctuate between. In general, over-bought levels can be interpreted when a financial product touches the upper level of the bollinger bands, and over-priced levels when the lower-band holds. But alone does not give enough results. It can give meaningful results when used with Bollinger tapes and others.
Stage 1: Staging is the phase in which very cheap commodities sold by investors who are in trouble and discouraged are being collected by large investors. Yet there is no significant upward trend and there is still little interest in the market in general.
2nd Stage-Buying Wave: It is the phase in which the signs of recovery in the market have begun to be clearly noticed after the addition phase, and small investors are now included in the buying wave.
Stage-Saturation: The market has reached a certain degree of saturation with the increase in volume, and the buyer has decreased considerably in the market. It indicates that the bull market has come to an end, so it can be expected to start a wave of steep declines.
BULK MARKET EXAMPLES
Gold has been in a significant bull market since the early 2000s. Gold prices have risen from $ 800 ounce levels to $ 1900 ounce levels. This is the case for a strong golden bull market.
While there is no general consensus about how long the bear market will last, it is expected that prices will continue to fall for a long time. Demand for products on a market under the bear market is declining. Because demand is decreasing, nobody wants to buy those products and prices continue to fall.
The bull market, on the contrary of the bear market, shows that the related market will be on the rising trend for a long time and that the demand for the products in that market is increasing.
If gold prices were to be taken as an example, the bull market was experiencing a rising trend from the beginning of 2000s to the end of 2011 for a long time. However, in the middle of 2013, 2011 peak price level of 1900 dollars ounce of the level of 1500 ounces fell below. There was a decrease of about 30% from the previous peak level and gold prices were officially under the influence of the bull market.
Resistance: 111.90 / 1112.75 / 113.50
Support: 110.70 / 111.00 / 109.20
Resistance: 46.60 / 47.00 / 48.50
Support: 45.50 / 44.45 / 43.30
Resistance: 48.50 / 49.20 / 50.00
Support: 47.80 / 46.60 / 45.35
When you enter the Forex market, the amount you will have to invest in a small amount of loss can be seen.
Quantities can be raised after the Forex market is well understood in the future. Thus, as you become more familiar with the market and learn the processes and experience more, your earnings will increase and your losses will be less. It will also be very useful for new investors to trade for a few months with a demo account before being taken to the commercial life. In this way, more investment will be gained. Since money earned or lost in the demo account is not real, it is a very good option to learn the market and improve yourself on investment.
How to trade in Forex Market
Although invested with the Forex market has been trending for a few years in our country, it has gained popularity in a very short time all over the world and has reached a large investor base. English Forex or Fx, an abbreviation of FOReign EXchange terms, is an international currency trading market. In addition to the trading of currencies between countries, many commodities, stocks, international stock market indexes can be earned by buying and selling at prices. Investors are aiming to make transactions based on price changes only without having physical means to buy and sell financial instruments such as foreign exchange, gold, and stocks. For example; An investor who anticipates an upturn in gold prices opens up the gold parity buying process.
We can explain it in two ways.
In addition to trading a profit or a return, foreign exchange trading can be used to hedge a stock portfolio. For example, if you set up a portfolio of shares in a country with a potential to raise the value of a share, but a risk of insolvency in currency, such as in the recent US, then a trader may own the share. Create a portfolio and shorten the Swiss franc or euro To sell futures. In this way, the portfolio value will increase and the negative impact of the falling dollar will be significant. This is true for investors outside the United States who take their earnings back to their own currency.
A second approach to transaction currencies is to understand baselines and long-term benefits when a currency advances in a particular direction and provides a positive interest rate differential that provides a value in the currency value of the return of the investment. This type of trade is known as “transport trade”.
For example, a trader can take the Australian Dollar against the Japanese Yen. When the original of this article is published, the Japanese interest rate is 0.05%, the most recently reported Australian interest rate is 4.75%, so a trader can earn 4% in this trade.
Nevertheless, such a positive interest should be seen in the real exchange rate context of the AUD / JPY before the decision of interest is given. If the Australian dollar is strengthening against the yen, it would be appropriate to hold the AUD / JPY to gain both the appreciation of the currency and the yield of interest.
Oil is among the most heavily traded commodities in the Forex markets. There are two types of Oil used in the world.
Crude oil, which is very important in the world economy and accepted as black gold; Industrial, automotive, energy, chemical, cosmetics. The world is being used as a leading indicator of oil prices and is being removed from the state of Texas. Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) oil is called “Texas light sweet” because of its low light (light) and low sulfur (sweet) content. Crude oil prices show great sensitivity to political and economic developments, but also change as the geopolitical risks in the Middle East increase. Many factors, such as oil reserve levels, changes in global climate, economic developments, supply and demand balance, have an impact on crude oil prices. In the forex market of crude oil, the volume of transactions is quite high, and in the market both profit and loss can be achieved both in value increments and in value losses.
After crude oil is the second highest quality oil in the world. Its name is taken from the initials of five separate tectonic strata in the North Sea (Broom, Rannoch, Etieve, Ness, Tarbat) between England and Norway. It shows great sensitivity to political and economic developments, but is affected more quickly than the changes that may occur. The geopolitical risks and economic vitality on the Eurozone are influential in the upward and downward movement of prices, as developments in the Middle East are influential on Brent Oil prices.
Transactions on oil at financial markets may be futures (traded within a certain period) or as demand (traders continuing until the investor finishes trading positions). Therefore, there is no obligation to close positions at the end of the maturity. The positive or negative overnight cost (Swap) is reflected according to the trading direction of the investor.