Moving averages help me find where the nearest support and resistance levels are.
Naturally, the first level of support will function if the 9-period moving average prices in the emerging market are closer to that of a retreat. The 26-period moving average, which follows the prices further, takes on the next support function. The same rules apply for the declining market.
* Ichimoku Cloud: The area between Senkou Spana and Senkou Span B.
The thickness of the clouds is also an important point. The cloud is thicker than the support (or resistance) in the region; we can say that the cloud is thinner than the support (or resistance) in the area where it is thin. Currents are more likely to change direction at these points.
For example; Egypt had serious pressure on the exchange rate due to the fall of the US dollar to the black market. The rise of the black stock market had serious consequences for Egypt’s domestic production and investments. For this reason, Egypt devalued its currency by 14% against the US dollar in March 2016.
After the devaluation, the Egyptian stock market showed very serious rises, but against it the black market forced the Egyptian central bank to take more precautions. On June 12, 2016, the Egyptian bank once again devalued the value of the Egyptian Pound against the US dollar.
Another example of devaluation is China. China, which is experiencing serious problems with the credit market and economic contraction in 2015, has devastated Reminbi, the local currency. China, repeating this devaluation movement several times over the course of the year, warned China that it intervened with the US on monetary policy instruments on global trade. By devaluing the countries’ currencies, trying to gain advantage in global trade and being advantageous in exports is seen as the main cause of currency wars.
Bollinger bands are a volatility band that is often used in technical analysis, developed by John Bollinger in the 1980s. Volatility is a variable dependent on standard deviation, and volatility increases or decreases affect standard deviation. Bollinger bands are narrowing when volatility rises and bollinger bands are decreasing when volatility is decreasing. In 2011, bollinger bands will be patented on behalf of John Bollinger. Prices for Bollinger bands are relatively high or low. According to Bollinger, tapes contain 88-89% of price movements. It is stated that the price movements of these beds out of band width bands are unusual. Technically speaking, the prices are relatively high if they are close to the high band, and the prices are relatively low when they are close to the low band. Nevertheless, the relatively high price movements should not be construed as buying or selling signals.
HOW TO CALCULATE BOLLING BITS?
Medium Band: 20-day simple moving average
Upper Bant: 20-day simple moving average + (standard deviation of 20 days price x 2)
Lower Bant: 20-day simple moving average – (standard deviation of 20-day price x 2)
HOW TO USE BOLLİNG TANKS?
An example of the bollinger band appears in the above graphic. In this example, the middle line shows the 20-day moving average. There are two lines above and below this line. Upper line; Above the standard deviation of the moving average in the middle, the bottom field line and the moving average in the middle denote the K standard deviation. In general, the standard deviation is assumed to be 2 in the bollinger bands and 20 in the period.
The most important reason for using Bollinger bands is that the financial product can be held at high and low levels and it can be predicted which band the related product will fluctuate between. In general, over-bought levels can be interpreted when a financial product touches the upper level of the bollinger bands, and over-priced levels when the lower-band holds. But alone does not give enough results. It can give meaningful results when used with Bollinger tapes and others.
While there is no general consensus about how long the bear market will last, it is expected that prices will continue to fall for a long time. Demand for products on a market under the bear market is declining. Because demand is decreasing, nobody wants to buy those products and prices continue to fall.
The bull market, on the contrary of the bear market, shows that the related market will be on the rising trend for a long time and that the demand for the products in that market is increasing.
If gold prices were to be taken as an example, the bull market was experiencing a rising trend from the beginning of 2000s to the end of 2011 for a long time. However, in the middle of 2013, 2011 peak price level of 1900 dollars ounce of the level of 1500 ounces fell below. There was a decrease of about 30% from the previous peak level and gold prices were officially under the influence of the bull market.
Resistance: 111.90 / 1112.75 / 113.50
Support: 110.70 / 111.00 / 109.20
The Federal Reserve is the central bank of the United States, which was founded on December 23, 1913. Over time, the roles and responsibilities of the Federal Reserve System have been expanded and changes have taken hold. Ben Bernanke, head of the central bank in Washington. The bank also has the authority to print and distribute US dollars.
The FOMC is the US Federal Reserve Open Market Operations Committee. It is the most important part of the Federal Reserve System’s monetary policies. The FOMC has important tasks such as increasing employment, keeping inflation and macroeconomic balance at an acceptable level, and taking measures to promote economic growth.
The Federal Open Market Commitee meets eight times a year to assess economic trends and determine their monetary policy. FOMC Meetings (FOMC Minutes) are announced three weeks after the FED meetings. In the meeting records; The reasons behind the decisions of the FED meetings include the FOMC members’ view of the macroeconomic outlook, the duration of economic measures and interest rate decisions, and forecasts for future periods. Investors look for clues in this long text for changes that may occur in the FED’s monetary policies.
Interpretation of FOMC Decisions
Interest Rate Decisions: Commitments to keep FED’s policy rate at certain levels are affecting the course of the US dollar and commodities. For example; A clue to the prolongation of the rate at which interest rates are held at very low levels will create a low interest-weak dollar sense. Read More
The difference between swapped and non-swapped accounts is briefly mentioned. If you have decided to invest in the investment world and do not want to use SWAP, you can research swapless account presentation investment platforms.