The Federal Reserve is the central bank of the United States, which was founded on December 23, 1913. Over time, the roles and responsibilities of the Federal Reserve System have been expanded and changes have taken hold. Ben Bernanke, head of the central bank in Washington. The bank also has the authority to print and distribute US dollars.
The FOMC is the US Federal Reserve Open Market Operations Committee. It is the most important part of the Federal Reserve System’s monetary policies. The FOMC has important tasks such as increasing employment, keeping inflation and macroeconomic balance at an acceptable level, and taking measures to promote economic growth.
The Federal Open Market Commitee meets eight times a year to assess economic trends and determine their monetary policy. FOMC Meetings (FOMC Minutes) are announced three weeks after the FED meetings. In the meeting records; The reasons behind the decisions of the FED meetings include the FOMC members’ view of the macroeconomic outlook, the duration of economic measures and interest rate decisions, and forecasts for future periods. Investors look for clues in this long text for changes that may occur in the FED’s monetary policies.
Interpretation of FOMC Decisions
Interest Rate Decisions: Commitments to keep FED’s policy rate at certain levels are affecting the course of the US dollar and commodities. For example; A clue to the prolongation of the rate at which interest rates are held at very low levels will create a low interest-weak dollar sense. Read More
We can explain it in two ways.
In addition to trading a profit or a return, foreign exchange trading can be used to hedge a stock portfolio. For example, if you set up a portfolio of shares in a country with a potential to raise the value of a share, but a risk of insolvency in currency, such as in the recent US, then a trader may own the share. Create a portfolio and shorten the Swiss franc or euro To sell futures. In this way, the portfolio value will increase and the negative impact of the falling dollar will be significant. This is true for investors outside the United States who take their earnings back to their own currency.
A second approach to transaction currencies is to understand baselines and long-term benefits when a currency advances in a particular direction and provides a positive interest rate differential that provides a value in the currency value of the return of the investment. This type of trade is known as “transport trade”.
For example, a trader can take the Australian Dollar against the Japanese Yen. When the original of this article is published, the Japanese interest rate is 0.05%, the most recently reported Australian interest rate is 4.75%, so a trader can earn 4% in this trade.
Nevertheless, such a positive interest should be seen in the real exchange rate context of the AUD / JPY before the decision of interest is given. If the Australian dollar is strengthening against the yen, it would be appropriate to hold the AUD / JPY to gain both the appreciation of the currency and the yield of interest.
The most important factor determining the direction of a parity is the news about the currency concerned and the perceptions of the Market Players about that parity.
The issue is that if the USD raises the interest rate on the EUR / USD parity, the USD-oriented transaction can be opened without any technical analysis required.
News and economic data can be traced from various Forex sites.
In addition to this, Market Players may decide that if a parity is going to go up, the Buy operation can be started regardless of the technique. Perceptions of parities can be controlled with data called Sentiment.
Perhaps the most important technical issue in Forex is the determination of support and resistance points.
Resistance of a previous support when drawing Support-Resistance should not be taken for granted that a previous resistance might support.
After setting the graph to detect DDs, at least 2 points that are paused at the same level are determined and a horizontal line is drawn. The price is more likely to pause and change direction at this level.
Note the support and resistance in the picture. The price is having difficulty passing through that region.
Trend lines also affect parities like the same support resistance. Trend lines generally work with 3’s. This is called the sister technique.
When plotting the trend line, the previous 2 dips or crests are determined. The price is expected to return from these lines.
If the trend line is exceeded, resistance can be turned into support.
For example, a customer using 5 credit lines per 1 could have the same value size of 1000TL instead of 5000TL to have 1000 lots. On the other hand, on the forex market, the leverage rates of the system itself are dependent on the demand of the customer. All trades of an investor with a leverage defined as 10 to 1 will be traded with a leverage ratio of 1:10. Therefore, instead of giving credit to the intermediary institution, the system itself gives this opportunity to the customer.
On the stock exchanges, there are physical buying and selling possibilities in some products. The investor also has many rights when he owns the shares. At the very beginning of these, the company having the sensation has other important rights such as profit share, right to receive new share, participation in company management, voting rights, information.